World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x083d1ba15a1d89a33c50b775e5c25fb2a72b0139297db258679a5265ee7a523a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,939 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 18c | 7,794$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.04 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 79c | 6,455$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 18c | 3,513$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 11c | 3,319$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.43 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 18c | 2,876$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.36 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 10c | 1,998$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…103dbacked No | 18c | 1,900$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 13c | 1,811$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…3e3cbacked No | 10c | 1,456$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 1,270$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 76c | 1,256$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.49 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 13c | 1,139$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 1,108$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 71c | 1,039$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.09 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 5c | 887.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed No | 10c | 810.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 746.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1d4dbacked Yes | 74c | 719.8$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 665.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…2560backed Yes | 80c | 652.26$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 15c | 609.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 601.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…65c9backed Yes | 72c | 599.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…024abacked No | 27c | 589.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 3c | 534.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…7e0dbacked Yes | 77c | 521.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 470.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…d758backed No | 20c | 459.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…abc7backed No | 7c | 448.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 11c | 422.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…5960backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…dfcebacked No | 11c | 348.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -58%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…2addbacked Yes | 76c | 339.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…4824backed No | 17c | 330.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6c6dbacked Yes | 78c | 320$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed No | 12c | 299.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed No | 19c | 270$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed No | 23c | 254.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed No | 16c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 10c | 233.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 23c | 222.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 219.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 6c | 214.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed No | 11c | 209.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 16c | 205$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 15c | 197.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca8a…de2fbacked No | 8c | 182.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed Yes | 78c | 182.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 14c | 180.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…c5dabacked Yes | 79c | 177.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 14c | 171.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed No | 27c | 158.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…af29backed Yes | 70c | 142.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 31c | 137.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…2859backed No | 7c | 136.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0d2backed Yes | 78c | 131.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…7d48backed Yes | 78c | 127.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…b2aebacked Yes | 80c | 125.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…9652backed No | 16c | 121.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…b7bbbacked No | 19c | 121$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4646…04d9backed No | 21c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…7d41backed No | 16c | 118$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked No | 28c | 117.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 13c | 110.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…e2b1backed No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…b269backed No | 21c | 107.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 23c | 105.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…41b7backed No | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…a8a4backed No | 13c | 104.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d2…88cbbacked No | 17c | 104.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…724bbacked No | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…2781backed No | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked No | 12c | 100.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 72c | 100.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed No | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 21c | 99.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…d589backed No | 19c | 98.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…e42cbacked No | 20c | 96.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…75cfbacked No | 21c | 96.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 11c | 95.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…c8aebacked No | 21c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…988fbacked No | 16c | 92.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…c962backed No | 12c | 91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 17c | 87.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed No | 16c | 87.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…19d2backed No | 21c | 82.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed Yes | 71c | 78.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…f80fbacked Yes | 70c | 78.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 72c | 71.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed No | 17c | 70.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…c70abacked Yes | 74c | 67.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…b804backed Yes | 80c | 62.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…4e68backed No | 19c | 61.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 71c | 60.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…e61cbacked No | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f8…13f7backed No | 18c | 55.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?this page
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.