TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x662b…eb47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 58 out of 100; worst Tweets at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$28.12
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$4.78
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+45%+$14
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$24.31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$112.79
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.89
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or higher on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.71
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$19.18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.92
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$30.1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.78
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+62%+$15.43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$42.71
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$9.61
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.77
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.9
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.93
Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.87
Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.06
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$12.02
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.64
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+276.3%+$32.16
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$22.15
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.8
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$33.83
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.19
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$44.44
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$31.07
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38.23
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.05
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$72.78
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$5.78
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.78
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48.71
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$6.85
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45%+$17.61
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.78
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.68
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$298.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.49
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.28
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.65
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$22.85
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Next US strike on Syria on December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26%+$4.2
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$79.89
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$8.65
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$10.88
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.58
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$24.36
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$12.6
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.63
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48.94
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$6.69
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.75
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.23
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$16.68
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$20.11
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.61
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.55
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-63.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick31cpaid+227.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$75.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$3.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 9z qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.