World Politics · resolved market
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5852c2478ba15371cb5cdcd259a5121c04127740560afe482ca25b62962a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,269 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 21c | 3,881$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.36 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 9c | 3,084$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…a4ffbacked Yes | 24c | 2,239$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 18c | 1,570$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 76c | 963.19$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.96 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…04fabacked Yes | 13c | 937.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 23c | 922.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 76c | 913.89$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 73c | 910.34$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.79 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…1511backed Yes | 23c | 876.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…8e67backed Yes | 22c | 858.56$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 799.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…6276backed Yes | 17c | 603.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…df27backed Yes | 22c | 596.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 587.96$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 73c | 579.55$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a7…4c5ebacked Yes | 21c | 529.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 409.24$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…2e73backed Yes | 27c | 406.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 375.36$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…82e0backed Yes | 4c | 292.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…f958backed Yes | 17c | 292.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d4…d622backed Yes | 17c | 291.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 75c | 263.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 24c | 249.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 235.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 13c | 222.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…ec74backed Yes | 19c | 212.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ff…9552backed Yes | 29c | 201$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ea…b92ebacked Yes | 19c | 185.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…ce2bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed Yes | 26c | 156.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 76c | 151.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…205abacked Yes | 25c | 145.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 23c | 139.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…9f5bbacked Yes | 18c | 134.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…08b6backed Yes | 20c | 120.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 19c | 119.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 24c | 119.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b47…ab73backed Yes | 19c | 118.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5d…e6e8backed Yes | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…de87backed Yes | 21c | 116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e37…b4d5backed Yes | 21c | 116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 73c | 112.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…714dbacked No | 78c | 111.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 110.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…9879backed Yes | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc486…40c2backed Yes | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e37…beaabacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 73c | 105.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…54b3backed Yes | 25c | 103.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…f577backed Yes | 18c | 102.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 101.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…4998backed No | 77c | 101.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Yes | 20c | 99.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…6415backed Yes | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…f5c9backed Yes | 19c | 86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 23c | 81.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 20c | 80.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 77c | 75.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 74c | 75.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 26c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 74.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…ccfcbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked No | 77c | 70.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 19c | 63.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 23c | 62.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…e9a7backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…e904backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0c…aa2dbacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83df…6e43backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…e369backed No | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…f50ebacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781b…ae0ebacked Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…e31cbacked No | 80c | 52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 50.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…12e9backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4955…e949backed No | 80c | 47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed Yes | 22c | 46.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…a4efbacked No | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…320cbacked No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…a5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 43.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…4d21backed Yes | 27c | 42.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…070ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…e04abacked Yes | 28c | 39.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b16…194cbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…0fe7backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…94ddbacked No | 74c | 31.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?this page
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 20%+?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?Yes won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.