TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x206a…94dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.81
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.98
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66.37
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$43.27
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.47
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.03
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.23
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$37.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick72cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$11.68
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$63.49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.41
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.76
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Alicante: Edas Butvilas vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.22
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$30.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Icon Esports win LRN 2026 Split 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$139.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$62.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.