Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe786e550fff7199ee0684a50fc381d933621abdcc13ffaef3464c396b2434e9e

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $731,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,954 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	0c	53,998$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	0c	33,529$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.9	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	26,085$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.63	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4618…0f1bbacked Yes	0c	24,420$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	23,879$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.49	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	21,695$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	20c	16,078$3,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,190.39	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	4c	15,483$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.29	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…8804backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58da…cd3cbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	7c	13,555$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.33	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes	0c	13,362$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	54	0%0 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	13,253$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	24c	12,013$2,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,889.69	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	12,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	11,829$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c59…f363backed Yes	0c	10,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	10,055$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.72	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	19c	9,955$1,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,917.76	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81dd…89e0backed Yes	0c	8,978$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	17c	8,802$1,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,508.67	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Yes	0c	8,775$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	6c	7,542$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.9	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa994…41cfbacked Yes	1c	7,333$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	7,187$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.35	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	6,892$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.47	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	6,831$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.68	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	23c	6,739$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.74	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	18c	6,555$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.82	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7378…ad4bbacked Yes	0c	6,508$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	13c	6,406$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.97	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	1c	6,258$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.42	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	14c	5,659$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.6	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	7c	5,471$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.85	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	0c	5,418$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03a0…e52abacked Yes	30c	5,084$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	19c	5,035$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.14	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	1c	5,000$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.55	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	1c	5,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	6c	5,000$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.07	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes	3c	4,884$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.45	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	11c	4,830$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.12	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	10c	4,795$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.99	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	4,370$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.43	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	77c	4,300$3,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.98	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	78c	4,200$3,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.96	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,007$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed No	74c	3,707$2,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.69	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	3,569$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	3,530$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	24c	3,480$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.27	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	26c	3,247$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.06	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…3d1fbacked Yes	2c	3,232$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.74	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	3,130$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.7	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	0c	3,009$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	3,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	4c	2,717$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c79…8e0abacked Yes	7c	2,559$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.46	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	13c	2,504$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.56	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	7c	2,464$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,400$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	2,334$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.61	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	11c	2,330$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.35	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a0…5963backed Yes	26c	2,300$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.5	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	1c	2,255$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	139	17.3%24 W · 115 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5464…ce87backed Yes	33c	2,251$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.4	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	2,242$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1327…0119backed No	79c	2,226$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.13	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	2,178$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.49	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,161$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.33	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	77c	2,077$1,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.82	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	13c	2,024$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.57	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	30c	2,022$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	23c	2,019$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.49	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	18c	2,000$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.72	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	13c	2,000$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.5	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	2,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	31c	2,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	16c	1,996$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.55	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	15c	1,991$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	76c	1,989$1,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.84	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	1,950$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.3	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	1,949$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	2c	1,914$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.83	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…a85bbacked Yes	29c	1,885$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.68	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	16c	1,830$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	1,830$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.5	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	22c	1,827$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	72c	1,827$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.1	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	22c	1,798$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.92	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	25c	1,712$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.31	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	78c	1,705$1,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.59	261	67%175 W · 86 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	6c	1,700$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event