Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cb80760e72f7af5e39f074d18e28c18c06244a9dd85b3649b5d0e7e7ad08583

Rebuilt 35 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $499,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,061 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	0c	61,110$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x979b…e47cbacked Yes	1c	49,653$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.09	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	42,217$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.89	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	0c	31,309$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.47	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	18,353$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	15,716$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.16	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	13,810$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.21	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	6c	12,860$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.77	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	3c	12,800$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.5	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f42…2348backed Yes	0c	12,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x405d…74b1backed Yes	1c	12,460$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.89	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	11,464$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.37	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c1…e73cbacked Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	8c	10,641$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.29	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	11c	9,946$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.86	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	9,811$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.47	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	3c	9,805$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.54	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	9,312$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.43	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	7,522$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.46	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	7,125$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.28	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fef…36c7backed Yes	0c	7,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	1c	6,958$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.82	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	0c	6,667$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	6,331$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.75	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf613…b2dbbacked Yes	2c	5,640$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	5,400$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.33	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	7c	5,166$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.43	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe855…04cdbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad0…3abfbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	4,806$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.41	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	5c	4,643$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.98	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	5c	4,581$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.95	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	4,484$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.32	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	4,358$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.3	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	4,200$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.95	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	4,017$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.19	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	3,777$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.11	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224e…61fbbacked Yes	0c	3,667$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	0c	3,575$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	3,529$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.9	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	8c	3,512$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	3,479$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.58	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	3,378$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.14	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	0c	3,110$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	2,800$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	2,580$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	4c	2,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	2,488$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c40…af19backed Yes	2c	2,403$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.83	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb104…10c9backed Yes	6c	2,383$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.17	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	13c	2,363$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	2,322$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.3	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd832…19b7backed Yes	2c	2,166$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.02	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,157$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.79	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be9…4ddcbacked Yes	5c	2,063$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	3c	2,047$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	3c	2,005$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	2,000$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.22	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	4c	2,000$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	6c	2,000$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.36	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	2c	2,000$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	5c	1,992$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.57	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd06…4f1bbacked Yes	14c	1,980$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.32	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	2c	1,968$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	1,957$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.93	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	3c	1,936$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.95	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…7b94backed Yes	1c	1,883$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	11c	1,814$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	1c	1,740$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	2c	1,709$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	3c	1,658$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	6c	1,657$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.14	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	5c	1,642$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.92	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	3c	1,545$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	2c	1,541$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	3c	1,440$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.67	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	2c	1,431$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.34	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,428$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	1,423$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a1…19e7backed Yes	4c	1,422$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.48	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9324…1e0ebacked Yes	7c	1,415$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	5c	1,406$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.54	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	6c	1,370$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.06	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a93…c89abacked Yes	4c	1,363$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	4c	1,362$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.44	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	5c	1,327$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.82	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c52…5859backed Yes	6c	1,305$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+89.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed Yes	2c	1,260$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.37	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864d…64afbacked Yes	4c	1,251$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.12	122	19.7%24 W · 98 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	18c	1,242$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.98	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	3c	1,183$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	3c	1,170$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.42	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	3c	1,157$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.32	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	1,137$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	2c	1,117$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes	1c	1,100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event