Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e727ec21989b0423e21c58986744955305f43013b5294f151f9971214b59d1b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,406,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $521,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,406,962 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	1c	113,750$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.13	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	42,344$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.53	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	33,995$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.63	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	26,344$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	23,199$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.36	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	22,154$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.46	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	1c	21,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	2c	18,355$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.79	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	2c	16,671$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.91	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	16,203$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.43	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a52…baafbacked Yes	2c	14,904$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.57	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	2c	14,820$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.29	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	14,512$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	12,681$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.14	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	12,353$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	0c	11,315$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	11,208$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.8	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	10,619$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	0%0 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	9,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	8,924$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.35	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	8,874$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.43	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	8,202$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.8	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	2c	7,932$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.06	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	2c	7,764$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.05	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	7,236$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.11	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Yes	0c	7,090$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	1c	7,044$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	2c	6,409$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.42	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x231e…41a2backed Yes	1c	6,030$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0790…34babacked Yes	1c	6,021$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.07	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	5,880$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	2c	5,433$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.26	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86c…739bbacked Yes	0c	5,386$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…9dd7backed Yes	0c	5,141$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	6cpaid	+223.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	4c	5,100$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.04	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	5,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	2c	4,985$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.41	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2a…aa5cbacked Yes	1c	4,961$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.73	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc230…956bbacked Yes	2c	4,697$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	26cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	1c	4,605$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.39	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	1c	4,530$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.22	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.85	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	1c	4,344$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	2c	4,262$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.95	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes	2c	4,052$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.53	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	4,000$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.07	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	2c	4,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	4,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	4,000$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.26	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes	3c	3,974$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.29	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	2c	3,765$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.43	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc0…46a5backed Yes	2c	3,709$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.65	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	3,546$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.77	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	3,516$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	8c	3,444$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.07	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	1c	3,431$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.89	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xce26…f3e8backed Yes	9c	3,159$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.95	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a5e…ef7abacked Yes	1c	3,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	94	26.6%25 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	2,958$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	1c	2,919$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	2,910$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.27	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…3d1fbacked Yes	1c	2,809$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	1c	2,702$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	2c	2,491$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.18	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	0c	2,483$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…7b94backed Yes	2c	2,405$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Yes	1c	2,379$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.97	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes	2c	2,196$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.11	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	2c	2,134$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.21	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	2c	2,126$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	1c	2,090$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	2,033$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.39	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	0c	2,027$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	2c	2,022$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	2c	2,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	2c	2,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba75…adb4backed Yes	1c	1,965$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	8c	1,886$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,864$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Yes	1c	1,799$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	4c	1,782$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.88	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,713$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.34	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed Yes	8c	1,530$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.01	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	5c	1,527$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.97	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	1c	1,500$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13d…11aabacked Yes	1c	1,494$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	1c	1,412$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b28…5b76backed Yes	9c	1,407$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.36	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92bb…ee17backed Yes	2c	1,363$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	2c	1,355$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	1,315$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.52	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…5c90backed Yes	2c	1,306$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	77	9.1%7 W · 70 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes	2c	1,297$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-84%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f0…2faabacked Yes	3c	1,250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	4cpaid	+566.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	2c	1,240$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event