Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf1d8c57e042ae7466dc45b22466cdc91e4e4f5980652f7f80aa154366c01c7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $592,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	5c	48,375$2,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,484.28	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	33,436$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.85	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	1c	29,000$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.01	197	31%61 W · 136 L	+13.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	2c	26,903$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.85	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	23c	20,000$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,550	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	15c	19,147$2,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,855.15	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	21c	15,846$3,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,364.88	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8992…f259backed Yes	1c	15,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,270$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…a01abacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	17c	9,773$1,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,651.28	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Yes	0c	9,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	3c	8,706$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.93	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	8,233$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255.24	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	17c	7,809$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.97	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	13c	7,450$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.77	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	0c	7,332$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	14c	7,235$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.3	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	6c	6,776$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.72	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	11c	6,505$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.87	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	2c	6,151$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.14	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	17c	5,518$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.47	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611b…9b3dbacked Yes	1c	5,272$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.64	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	9c	5,251$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.77	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No	77c	5,046$3,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.7	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	4c	5,000$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	0c	4,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	4,469$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.37	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	10c	4,288$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.38	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	4,284$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.29	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	26c	4,246$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.77	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	15c	4,110$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.11	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	4,100$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.18	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked No	78c	4,014$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.19	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	3,952$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.1	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	6c	3,703$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	10c	3,217$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.05	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	16c	3,217$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.57	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	2c	3,052$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.71	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb104…10c9backed Yes	12c	3,012$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.35	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	12c	3,000$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4180…2fa3backed Yes	13c	2,863$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	19c	2,822$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.01	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	2,783$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.96	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes	18c	2,738$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.87	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	2,704$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	80c	2,600$2,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.68	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	5c	2,575$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.78	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	79c	2,500$1,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.58	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	2,371$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.47	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	23c	2,194$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.38	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	11c	2,177$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.86	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	21c	2,048$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.19	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	15c	2,003$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	17c	2,000$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.72	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a0…5963backed Yes	15c	2,000$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.95	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	11c	2,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	10c	2,000$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	9c	2,000$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	1,970$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.96	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	6c	1,926$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,862$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5464…ce87backed Yes	21c	1,860$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.79	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes	13c	1,800$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	17c	1,733$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	4c	1,700$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	1,690$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.07	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	14c	1,632$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.66	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x405d…74b1backed Yes	3c	1,630$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	13c	1,580$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.2	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	1,522$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.97	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	13c	1,500$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.5	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	1,500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x074b…ffc9backed Yes	5c	1,500$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes	3c	1,475$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	59	15.3%9 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	15c	1,439$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.1	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9efe…68cabacked Yes	15c	1,385$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.91	56	25%14 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	6c	1,337$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee65…1109backed Yes	25c	1,327$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	14c	1,326$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.91	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2101…cb8bbacked Yes	12c	1,325$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc170…d305backed Yes	21c	1,324$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	19c	1,323$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.86	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0790…34babacked Yes	2c	1,230$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	12c	1,225$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.58	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	23c	1,200$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.35	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	79c	1,200$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.38	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	1,200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	20c	1,175$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.19	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	19c	1,162$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd832…19b7backed Yes	3c	1,120$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	10c	1,117$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…3af4backed Yes	8c	1,100$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.77	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	1c	1,100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event