Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb810ea8d468ab4783ac913dc8fc848bda0981c87dc5c0eb885067159a1edb2e0

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,536,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,536,875 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x265f…a448backed Yes	26c	56,337$14,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,730.37	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	65c	49,367$31,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,408.78	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	21c	39,659$8,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,469.43	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc28…c32bbacked No	0c	33,340$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	70c	32,873$23,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,865.72	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42fd…96c0backed Yes	63c	31,000$19,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,470.11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2602…0ff3backed No	37c	30,960$11,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,456.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	21c	24,698$5,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,503.08	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	76c	22,263$16,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,989.53	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	22c	16,103$3,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,580.75	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	39c	16,099$6,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,745.61	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	6c	15,612$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,681.75	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed No	14c	14,018$2,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,031.62	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	30c	13,500$3,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,507.39	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	22c	13,471$3,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,467.43	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	14c	11,139$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,623.53	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1327…0119backed No	42c	10,690$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,499.97	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	30c	9,987$2,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,035.69	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes	50c	9,553$4,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,754.31	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	16c	9,468$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,979.38	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	12c	9,382$1,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,249.44	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	9,186$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,555.15	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	8,585$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,615.08	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	35c	7,884$2,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,149.41	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	33c	7,739$2,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,210	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	10c	7,414$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,665.16	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	20c	7,243$1,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,815.26	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	9c	7,110$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,471.21	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	66c	7,034$4,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,674.53	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	22c	6,800$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,328.55	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	30c	6,640$2,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,614.94	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	61c	6,265$3,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,413.06	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	16c	5,988$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,023.32	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	6c	5,961$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,627.88	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	32c	5,913$1,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,011.61	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	47c	5,758$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,058.19	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	5,580$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,961.6	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	22c	5,515$1,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,307.2	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	28c	5,374$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,874.08	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	10c	5,311$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,769.17	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	31c	5,287$1,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,648.68	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	32c	5,268$1,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,579.46	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	5,262$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,577.79	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	43c	5,226$2,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,997.08	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	74c	5,216$3,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,867.67	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes	34c	5,209$1,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,437.89	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	18c	4,843$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,959.94	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…f3e8backed Yes	26c	4,812$1,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,575.63	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa455…3ef0backed Yes	21c	4,730$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,714.07	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	64c	4,699$2,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,987.31	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd752…0692backed No	73c	4,691$3,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,426.35	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	44c	4,620$2,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,596.76	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	4,509$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,145.16	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	37c	4,340$1,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,745.36	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	33c	4,298$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,888.84	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	29c	4,271$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,023.41	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	18c	4,145$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,399.7	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	29c	4,100$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,891.22	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	25c	4,082$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,043.99	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	25c	4,050$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,049.52	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	14c	3,949$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,394.43	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	3,944$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,688.77	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	9c	3,937$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,578.96	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	14c	3,936$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,392.96	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	14c	3,925$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,364.67	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	19c	3,922$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,183.99	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	28c	3,792$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,746.23	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a76…53debacked No	72c	3,673$2,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,642.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	3,606$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,335.71	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	19c	3,460$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,816.57	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	8c	3,440$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,163.18	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	14c	3,370$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,905.86	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	16c	3,336$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,816.96	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	6c	3,237$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,051	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	23c	3,164$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,422.83	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed Yes	24c	3,098$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,350.39	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	3,031$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,957.58	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	3,000$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,842.48	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88be…3192backed Yes	11c	2,900$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,581	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	15c	2,883$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,464.47	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	17c	2,852$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,374	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x466b…f89bbacked Yes	42c	2,823$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.03	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	68c	2,653$1,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,798.39	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	6c	2,653$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,498.78	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	11c	2,648$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,348.63	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes	19c	2,627$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,129.49	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…9e55backed No	61c	2,586$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.65	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	20c	2,575$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,063	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	10c	2,572$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,326.28	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	74c	2,567$1,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,910.5	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	52c	2,565$1,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.68	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	25c	2,544$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,914.44	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes	32c	2,443$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,654.04	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	34c	2,325$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530.05	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes	29c	2,310$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,648.4	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f7…b825backed Yes	59c	2,278$1,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.65	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	25c	2,264$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,693.2	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	2,217$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,069.97	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa200…d145backed Yes	20c	2,212$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,773.87	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45a0…5963backed Yes	19c	2,134$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.57	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event