Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b686c7fb5518730a47368dfa2523db169f3d2c37a4bf91400830c989f46bf8

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $938,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $938,505 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	4c	81,652$3,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,385.23	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	63,611$2,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.58	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	13c	44,657$5,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,718.27	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	42,108$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.81	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	31,739$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	29,367$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.55	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	5c	28,720$1,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344.59	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	1c	28,199$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.56	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	3c	26,311$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.23	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	4c	20,066$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.83	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	6c	16,714$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.46	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	6c	15,451$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.35	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	15,331$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.04	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	5c	14,561$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.1	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	12,590$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.36	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	6c	12,010$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.7	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cf…7d11backed Yes	8c	11,343$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.18	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	+8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes	1c	10,303$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.29	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	10,255$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.76	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	9,524$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.63	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Yes	0c	9,500$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	8,985$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.79	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	9c	8,852$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.72	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	3c	8,838$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.27	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	9c	8,300$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.56	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	6c	8,148$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.18	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	7,955$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.88	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	6c	7,739$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.08	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	12c	7,600$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.79	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	7,383$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.07	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	9c	7,000$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.23	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd702…9694backed Yes	10c	7,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	5c	6,923$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.76	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a3…8046backed Yes	2c	6,849$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.28	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+817.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	6,700$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.8	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	5c	6,155$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.27	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	6,050$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	3c	5,911$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	11c	5,864$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.02	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	5,861$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.54	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	5,797$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	17c	5,779$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes	5c	5,592$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.94	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	13c	5,590$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	5,368$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.56	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	5,312$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.32	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	5,300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.14	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	5c	4,892$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.51	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	5c	4,620$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.66	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	4,607$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.03	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	4,554$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	11c	4,208$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.68	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	4,029$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.79	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	4,000$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.06	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	4c	4,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes	6c	3,836$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.53	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	3,800$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.15	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	1c	3,735$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	1c	3,418$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.54	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7996…6992backed Yes	1c	3,415$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	6cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	3,341$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Yes	2c	3,305$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.37	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-30%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	6c	3,170$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.32	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc0…46a5backed Yes	4c	3,147$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.22	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	5c	3,054$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.67	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b28…5b76backed Yes	11c	3,046$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	3c	3,029$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.01	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	13c	3,020$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.54	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	3,020$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.44	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	2,992$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.36	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	7c	2,968$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…7b94backed Yes	2c	2,889$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a52…baafbacked Yes	11c	2,863$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.01	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	2,763$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.96	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Yes	11c	2,752$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	6c	2,700$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.88	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed Yes	13c	2,690$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.72	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	3c	2,682$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.96	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	14c	2,571$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	10c	2,550$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.01	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	11c	2,546$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.73	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	12c	2,540$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	3c	2,526$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.42	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed Yes	1c	2,501$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.51	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	2,500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.88	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	8c	2,475$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.77	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea7b…2004backed Yes	6c	2,473$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	7c	2,467$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.23	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	7c	2,429$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.77	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	5c	2,413$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.93	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	3c	2,310$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	9c	2,300$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.7	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0151…3691backed Yes	5c	2,300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.37	113	28.3%32 W · 81 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes	2c	2,275$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	4c	2,267$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.37	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,132$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.53	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	14c	2,078$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event