Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb2e2ac81a2c312af816cafcbc4642f350eddd27004f83d142e44fec00f88c1

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $957,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,547 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 884 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	32,980$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.2	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	46c	29,370$13,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,567.51	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	29,132$2,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,990.31	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	21c	22,001$4,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,641.07	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	33c	20,781$6,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,825.13	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	12c	20,302$2,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,490.04	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	31c	19,696$6,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,182	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b0…5aaabacked Yes	0c	19,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	40c	18,371$7,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,319.54	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	68c	16,353$11,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,152.05	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	35c	13,684$4,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,749.48	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	23c	11,853$2,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,773.78	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1327…0119backed No	41c	11,612$4,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,907.08	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	49c	11,538$5,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,683.51	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	3c	11,231$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.53	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	45c	10,427$4,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,687.92	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	10,242$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.11	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	22c	10,116$2,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,228.43	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	7c	9,055$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.79	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	19c	8,744$1,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,634.22	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	8,446$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.25	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked No	65c	8,202$5,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,898.96	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	19c	7,739$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,474.89	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	40c	7,500$2,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,993.7	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	20c	7,230$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.12	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	15c	7,137$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.16	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes	52c	6,735$3,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,480.84	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	31c	6,208$1,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935.56	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	5,900$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.14	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	25c	5,817$1,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.32	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	4c	5,710$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.95	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	10c	5,480$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.48	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	29c	5,414$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.69	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	5c	5,310$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.46	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes	2c	4,900$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.81	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	19c	4,819$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.48	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	9c	4,817$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.5	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	49c	4,800$2,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,365.73	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	22c	4,744$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.12	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	48c	4,630$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200.09	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	2c	4,542$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.36	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	30c	4,329$1,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.18	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	75c	4,317$3,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.89	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	29c	4,181$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.98	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a0…b9eebacked Yes	14c	4,133$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.32	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	30c	4,124$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.9	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa752…e19fbacked Yes	18c	3,983$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.55	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	8c	3,915$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.98	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	9c	3,877$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.74	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	59c	3,732$2,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.34	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes	30c	3,685$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.23	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	4c	3,675$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.24	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	3,662$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	12c	3,631$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.95	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…f3e8backed Yes	14c	3,524$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	44c	3,509$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554.64	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	28c	3,475$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.23	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	3,419$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.44	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	3,215$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.42	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	15c	3,213$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.94	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7903…f658backed Yes	66c	3,090$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	36c	3,058$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.27	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	7c	3,055$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.98	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7587…81e2backed Yes	66c	3,002$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.46	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	18c	3,000$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.24	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e9…5625backed Yes	3c	2,955$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.8	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked No	34c	2,951$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,951.48	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	2c	2,850$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	50c	2,794$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.38	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	41c	2,784$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.73	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Yes	11c	2,767$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	26c	2,722$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.67	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	16c	2,700$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.15	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	4c	2,679$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.77	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x466b…f89bbacked Yes	44c	2,675$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1626…9992backed Yes	2c	2,663$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed No	53c	2,650$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,232.24	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	2,645$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.81	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	47c	2,641$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.01	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	9c	2,624$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.23	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	33c	2,613$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.32	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfe…5439backed Yes	8c	2,610$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…0692backed Yes	27c	2,600$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	39c	2,566$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.44	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	17c	2,385$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.06	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	5c	2,354$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.27	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	2c	2,282$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	15c	2,173$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.43	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	13c	2,165$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.81	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	31c	2,164$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.94	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	14c	2,161$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.82	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…3b37backed No	74c	2,045$1,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	30c	2,025$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.75	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	60c	2,020$1,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.36	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	2,015$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.43	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event