Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6298d48108c9b997215dd5eff1d90b9f6301047d46c6a914ed9ac73b544bcdd

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $957,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,425 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 708 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	3c	66,310$1,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.98	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	12c	58,029$7,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,250.93	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	4c	49,565$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,001.04	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	6c	24,976$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.98	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	16c	18,253$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	14c	17,482$2,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,458.99	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…5f23backed Yes	35c	17,266$6,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,043.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	16,813$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.6	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	11c	16,727$1,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,774.89	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	14c	12,828$1,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,816.55	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	5c	12,174$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.02	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	12,159$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.07	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	17c	11,423$1,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,924.18	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	19c	11,125$2,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,084.42	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,571$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.3	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	9c	9,855$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.07	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	14c	9,555$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.35	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	22c	9,080$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.35	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	25c	9,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	10c	9,000$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.99	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cf…7d11backed Yes	28c	8,930$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500.27	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	+8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	12c	8,874$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.91	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	8,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	19c	7,999$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,497.58	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	9c	7,944$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.09	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	29c	7,261$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.57	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	6,715$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.17	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	18c	6,492$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.77	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes	39c	6,376$2,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,498	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	16c	6,324$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.58	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…a85bbacked Yes	3c	6,269$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.91	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	12c	6,120$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.27	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	67c	5,526$3,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,803.99	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	5,500$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	15c	5,376$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.14	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	3c	5,353$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.31	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5af…e56dbacked No	75c	5,287$3,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	7c	5,266$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf516…1ea1backed Yes	1c	5,200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.58	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	20c	5,193$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.7	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes	19c	5,140$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	13c	5,055$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.16	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	13c	5,026$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.32	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	4,500$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.04	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	14c	4,282$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.81	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	21c	4,276$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.81	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	27c	4,088$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	7c	4,068$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.09	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	11c	4,033$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.52	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	8c	3,998$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.24	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	28c	3,704$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.34	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	22c	3,418$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.77	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3350…2186backed Yes	4c	3,404$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.97	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	8c	3,401$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.52	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	37c	3,400$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.93	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	33c	3,265$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.68	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	19c	3,255$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.53	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	25c	3,245$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.07	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	3,097$2,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.99	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	10c	3,067$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.47	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	3,056$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.39	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	8c	3,014$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.76	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	15c	3,010$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.17	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	3c	3,000$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1327…0119backed No	71c	2,831$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.69	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	10c	2,831$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.81	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	10c	2,749$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.78	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	4c	2,690$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.21	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	22c	2,684$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.4	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	15c	2,636$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.71	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	13c	2,633$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	11c	2,618$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.55	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes	18c	2,612$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.19	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	3c	2,450$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.59	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	37c	2,428$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.96	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	7c	2,350$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.55	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	14c	2,321$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	14c	2,221$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	26c	2,176$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.46	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	5c	2,160$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.91	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	5c	2,145$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.48	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	15c	2,112$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.7	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	10c	2,099$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.15	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	10c	2,000$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.1	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	5c	2,000$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.56	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9102…89d6backed No	73c	2,000$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.99	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	77cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Yes	29c	1,904$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.72	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	9c	1,900$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	7c	1,858$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.08	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes	11c	1,826$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.08	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45a0…5963backed Yes	16c	1,805$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.02	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	13c	1,775$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.16	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a03…86dcbacked No	68c	1,750$1,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.15	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	8c	1,740$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.12	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	14c	1,730$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.84	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	16c	1,725$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.42	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb065…0288backed Yes	37c	1,701$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.36	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+40%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event