Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b0855e317979e6af32d45166abd6dcf16133fc68ad5462d0c8033d9615101a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,088 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0ab…f0dfbacked Yes | 0c | 74,294$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852c…31a8backed Yes | 0c | 48,237$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…0135backed Yes | 0c | 48,055$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…0575backed Yes | 0c | 47,926$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…947ebacked Yes | 0c | 47,802$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca3…1288backed Yes | 0c | 47,308$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…1edebacked Yes | 0c | 46,945$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…1babbacked Yes | 0c | 46,510$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…430cbacked Yes | 0c | 43,013$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…49f5backed Yes | 0c | 42,217$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…b38fbacked Yes | 0c | 31,370$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…2279backed Yes | 0c | 31,160$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…d604backed Yes | 0c | 29,873$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…7490backed Yes | 0c | 29,548$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe536…b501backed Yes | 0c | 28,937$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…99c5backed Yes | 0c | 26,635$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes | 0c | 25,110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…e35abacked Yes | 0c | 23,875$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…7340backed Yes | 0c | 22,828$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…15b6backed Yes | 0c | 21,941$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…ee88backed Yes | 0c | 20,993$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…cd2abacked Yes | 0c | 18,493$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…c25ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,298$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da4…30efbacked Yes | 0c | 18,102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…476fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,488$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…d305backed Yes | 0c | 17,386$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…1bc8backed Yes | 0c | 16,271$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…927bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,454$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…2f49backed Yes | 0c | 15,049$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9383…65dfbacked Yes | 0c | 13,972$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebe…81b7backed Yes | 0c | 13,352$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…d47dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,247$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…36cbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,842$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…9e61backed Yes | 0c | 12,009$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…c3fbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,590$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…38a7backed Yes | 0c | 10,805$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…4f53backed Yes | 0c | 10,682$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…5630backed Yes | 0c | 10,405$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 10,093$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 47 | 0%0 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…4934backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 0%0 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…bd1bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,015$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.