Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd7210758037689b868fde00eb1ce5bec345d2336361ddce9bd3d84de30f0ce

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $582,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,122 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	0c	126,223$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.89	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	8c	25,091$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,029.95	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	23,117$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.98	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	21,863$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.03	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	16,222$2,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205.62	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	15,485$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.52	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	12,851$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.66	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	11,676$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	10,637$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.08	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	9,311$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.33	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	5c	8,591$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.42	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…e564backed Yes	23c	8,349$1,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,925.41	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	7,100$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.37	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	7,051$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.83	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	6,421$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.46	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	7c	6,304$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.61	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	6,295$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.34	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	11c	6,205$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.06	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	5c	6,033$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.4	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	1c	6,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	0c	5,410$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	5,388$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.08	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	2c	5,172$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.64	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	6c	5,000$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.14	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	12c	4,982$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f42…2348backed Yes	2c	4,517$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb104…10c9backed Yes	5c	4,216$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.42	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	4,115$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.21	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	3,932$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.83	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	3,865$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.96	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	3,688$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.78	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,480$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	12c	3,449$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.96	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	0c	3,244$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8992…f259backed Yes	1c	3,200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	1c	3,148$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.42	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	3,078$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	3,022$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	2c	2,900$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.66	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x979b…e47cbacked Yes	6c	2,848$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.69	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	11c	2,751$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.04	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	2,300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.55	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	2,246$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.74	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	14c	2,194$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.57	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	20c	2,148$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.06	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	2,130$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.97	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	18c	2,023$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.3	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	14c	2,021$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.91	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	2c	2,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	8c	2,000$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	14c	2,000$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	8c	2,000$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	3c	2,000$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,000$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.47	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	11c	2,000$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.56	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	1,927$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	4c	1,921$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.47	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	21c	1,894$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	17c	1,776$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	4c	1,702$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.28	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	18c	1,648$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.07	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes	15c	1,645$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.35	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed Yes	9c	1,636$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…d021backed Yes	19c	1,612$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,611$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.11	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	8c	1,500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	3c	1,439$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe855…04cdbacked Yes	3c	1,439$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	1,426$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.86	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	20c	1,339$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.02	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc170…d305backed Yes	5c	1,324$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.93	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	3c	1,299$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.88	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…7b94backed Yes	3c	1,200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.3	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	1c	1,194$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	9c	1,193$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	19c	1,170$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.58	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…09b9backed Yes	10c	1,150$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	14c	1,144$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.92	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…3af4backed Yes	5c	1,100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	3c	1,067$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes	16c	1,040$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	96	26%25 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5464…ce87backed Yes	19c	1,039$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	5c	1,029$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.8	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	17c	1,000$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.02	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5afb…d66dbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	19c	999.99$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	8c	994.13$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	4c	984.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.86	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	15c	971.31$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	10c	968.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.46	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde12…f708backed Yes	5c	963$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…dedebacked Yes	3c	939.94$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d81…4777backed Yes	15c	927.93$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	15c	900$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.6	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	4c	898.24$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event