Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547e647fbc5d289392ad5e182cf7e017e245b8118b4362e8b464b9c2deaaa141

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $635,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $272,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,783 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	0c	66,964$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.62	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	37,140$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.9	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x979b…e47cbacked Yes	1c	19,986$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	0c	19,723$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.46	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	0c	17,401$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	17,095$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.19	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	15,973$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	14,276$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224e…61fbbacked Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	9,610$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.05	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	5c	8,785$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	7,941$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	7,839$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.85	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	2c	7,100$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.34	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	5c	6,283$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.81	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd832…19b7backed Yes	1c	5,454$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	1c	5,040$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.44	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	11c	5,000$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.63	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	2c	4,701$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.32	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x405d…74b1backed Yes	1c	4,620$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.08	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	4,042$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a93…c89abacked Yes	1c	3,821$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	3c	3,716$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.88	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	1c	3,697$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.86	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	2c	3,556$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.32	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	3,466$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	3c	3,378$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.96	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	3,238$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.31	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2f…9ce9backed Yes	1c	3,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	7cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	2c	2,982$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	2,945$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.81	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	2,930$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	1c	2,521$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…c1acbacked Yes	7c	2,480$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.23	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…7b94backed Yes	2c	2,261$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.19	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	2,150$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	1c	2,004$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef10…97edbacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	1c	2,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes	8c	2,000$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa9…c4bcbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	3c	2,000$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45a0…5963backed Yes	5c	1,970$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.2	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	7c	1,962$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.71	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,925$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.14	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,838$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	1,782$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.32	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb104…10c9backed Yes	4c	1,775$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.59	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Yes	1c	1,739$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.77	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	1,728$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.67	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	1c	1,699$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc64b…516dbacked Yes	6c	1,659$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ef…b12fbacked Yes	1c	1,618$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-53%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	2c	1,590$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,580$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	5c	1,524$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.48	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	1c	1,440$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2b…d581backed Yes	1c	1,439$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	2c	1,439$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	2c	1,425$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84c3…6efebacked Yes	1c	1,408$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	1,383$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.16	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes	3c	1,354$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	1,166$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	1c	1,136$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	1,132$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.07	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	3c	1,128$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.95	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…61e0backed Yes	1c	1,071$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0c…bc8ebacked Yes	1c	1,050$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d16…9c8bbacked Yes	2c	1,026$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	1,015$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.23	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	4c	1,012$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	6c	1,009$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	10c	1,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.63	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	2c	1,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	2c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	12c	917.13$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	2c	911.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	900$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	2c	799.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3683…07ddbacked Yes	3c	790.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7206…bf9abacked Yes	4c	765.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x458b…debfbacked Yes	2c	693.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fc…16b5backed Yes	2c	644.71$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	104	12.5%13 W · 91 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208d…a3d4backed Yes	2c	621$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	616.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a97…d8a1backed Yes	5c	604.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.22	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	9c	602.65$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.53	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	4c	560.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	8c	518.62$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dae…002bbacked Yes	8c	502$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	6c	500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.55	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes	5c	472$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.28	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaca…33a0backed Yes	3c	459.52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	3cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f5…f796backed Yes	5c	439.65$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.64	94	12.8%12 W · 82 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	5c	406.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef4…615dbacked Yes	4c	394.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event