Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e82c39fdfa598c9c6ffed35a1de541b7a47af042030b5d553a5bce8ab3ec25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $544,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,035$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 1c | 19,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,785$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,122$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 3c | 14,774$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.09 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,841$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 0c | 10,726$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,135$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 212 | 20.3%43 W · 169 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +610.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…2bc6backed Yes | 6c | 8,484$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 2c | 8,082$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 0c | 8,041$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 1c | 6,589$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 209 | 7.7%16 W · 193 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 1c | 6,481$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,055$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,808$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 4,720$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 4,363$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 1c | 3,833$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 1c | 3,351$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,279$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 81 | 9.9%8 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 1c | 2,980$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 19c | 2,873$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 1c | 2,831$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 1c | 2,551$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.02 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 8c | 2,301$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…95b4backed Yes | 3c | 2,160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 10c | 1,876$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…4254backed Yes | 1c | 1,862$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 1c | 1,847$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…71afbacked Yes | 14c | 1,649$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…24f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,595$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 3c | 1,487$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Yes | 21c | 1,459$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,379$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 3c | 1,376$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,367$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,207$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 7c | 1,190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 6c | 1,143$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 1c | 1,073$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…3d31backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 17c | 999.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 4c | 989$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…225cbacked Yes | 2c | 934.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 2c | 918.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…640ebacked Yes | 1c | 883.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 14c | 849.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…e238backed Yes | 8c | 697.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes | 5c | 683.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 80c | 673$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 2c | 606.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes | 8c | 599.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 4c | 583.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 17c | 538.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed No | 79c | 517.55$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes | 22c | 477.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 22c | 453.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 428.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 5c | 408.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1380…741dbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…f779backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 239.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 11c | 227$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 17.6%34 W · 159 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 26c | 194.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…5db4backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…c5debacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…c503backed No | 79c | 124.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…8029backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2937…ccb8backed No | 72c | 105.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…7e01backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…0420backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…f910backed Yes | 29c | 91.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 23c | 89.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Yes | 29c | 89.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…98febacked Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…4302backed Yes | 25c | 80.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee66…8753backed Yes | 19c | 77.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…94febacked Yes | 27c | 73.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…94ddbacked No | 77c | 71.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5864…e473backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 61.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…2a2abacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…750dbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 72c | 55.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.