Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2fbcbfc1c975e1a823ecf2d5a0a10a427d488b91ea817d7c631b42b30e978ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 0c | 63,261$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.97 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 4c | 25,844$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.18 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 2c | 17,651$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.29 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes | 19c | 13,809$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 15c | 10,464$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.02 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…0a52backed Yes | 1c | 9,796$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 11c | 9,200$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.5 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 10c | 9,000$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.77 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 18c | 8,997$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.82 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 11c | 8,695$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.49 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 26c | 7,671$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 2c | 7,642$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes | 4c | 6,960$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 12c | 6,915$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.95 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 14c | 6,902$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.78 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes | 7c | 6,478$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.49 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes | 1c | 6,260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,104$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 11c | 6,068$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.81 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…1b1abacked Yes | 4c | 5,797$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 5c | 5,555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…2bc6backed Yes | 24c | 5,436$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed No | 58c | 5,395$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.87 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes | 16c | 5,145$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.09 | 177 | 28.2%50 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,115$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 10c | 4,593$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.54 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes | 11c | 4,567$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.84 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 6c | 4,500$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 13c | 4,454$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.6 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 19c | 4,203$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.23 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,856$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,650$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 38c | 3,506$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.74 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 12c | 3,435$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 19c | 3,212$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.18 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4239…5dafbacked Yes | 32c | 3,193$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 16c | 3,155$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,011$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 15c | 2,909$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.15 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 4c | 2,811$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Yes | 29c | 2,734$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 14c | 2,664$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 13c | 2,626$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.61 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes | 30c | 2,603$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,427$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 81 | 9.9%8 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…6593backed Yes | 9c | 2,333$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 18c | 2,265$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.77 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,250$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…28bcbacked Yes | 15c | 2,170$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,158$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.86 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,143$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…86dcbacked No | 76c | 2,098$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…2004backed Yes | 7c | 2,072$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,014$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…4254backed Yes | 9c | 1,978$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4824backed Yes | 24c | 1,960$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.5 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 58c | 1,960$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.52 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 15c | 1,868$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.89 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,857$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…5e3abacked Yes | 11c | 1,849$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 11c | 1,802$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.48 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…a2b2backed Yes | 14c | 1,766$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 10c | 1,750$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 22c | 1,703$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960b…9303backed Yes | 5c | 1,626$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed No | 74c | 1,609$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.81 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,504$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…e07dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 12c | 1,485$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 14c | 1,477$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 1,433$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.12 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 6c | 1,371$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,350$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…fe63backed Yes | 1c | 1,340$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,259$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…ee17backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…2186backed Yes | 18c | 1,181$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.76 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes | 15c | 1,168$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…1cc5backed Yes | 15c | 1,163$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 9c | 1,162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 9c | 1,077$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,070$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 2c | 1,062$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…0c3bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,058$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…640ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,025$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 13c | 1,012$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ee…c635backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 37c | 999.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Yes | 23c | 999.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 16c | 989$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…30dabacked Yes | 20c | 983.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 6c | 965.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 6c | 964.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde99…8449backed Yes | 31c | 960.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 12c | 953.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…00f7backed No | 53c | 932$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.04 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…e238backed Yes | 20c | 931.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.