Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ad99f9b73510f505577d3f988a66c85e0312694db550d76fec910f4ae10b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 44c | 8,073$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.06 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 38c | 7,170$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.56 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 80c | 3,716$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.1 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 43c | 3,338$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 77c | 1,969$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.85 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…6749backed Yes | 62c | 1,568$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 71c | 1,488$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 24c | 1,243$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.44 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,238$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.88 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 33c | 987.55$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.16 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed No | 29c | 938.8$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Yes | 31c | 934.09$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 49c | 879.25$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 30c | 822.85$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.31 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 19c | 718.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 26c | 592.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 13c | 559.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 48c | 494.11$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked No | 45c | 487.46$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.96 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad07…8cd1backed No | 23c | 435.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed No | 26c | 416.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed No | 20c | 348.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 30c | 335.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.58 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…44a1backed Yes | 61c | 334.06$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 56c | 329.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 46c | 316.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…adc8backed No | 16c | 309.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 48c | 305.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 35c | 300.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 68c | 292.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…0ca8backed No | 51c | 273.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 39c | 265.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 69c | 212.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…8998backed No | 60c | 205.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 32c | 199.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 47c | 190.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…6b0fbacked Yes | 41c | 179.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1072…750cbacked No | 37c | 176.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb12…afb2backed No | 55c | 176.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed Yes | 36c | 175.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Yes | 28c | 174.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…8289backed Yes | 80c | 155.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 36c | 155.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…c68dbacked No | 34c | 142.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked No | 73c | 142.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 69c | 141.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…4b16backed No | 66c | 138.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 71c | 137.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…b820backed Yes | 78c | 126.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 34c | 117.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…0e02backed No | 55c | 111.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…11dfbacked Yes | 44c | 110.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb95a…cbf6backed Yes | 31c | 108.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…9637backed Yes | 31c | 98.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 62c | 98.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe349…7552backed Yes | 57c | 98.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 40c | 97.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…e32abacked Yes | 42c | 91.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 68c | 90.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 66c | 81.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…76f7backed No | 59c | 80.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed No | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…94ddbacked Yes | 38c | 79.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…1ab7backed Yes | 44c | 79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…4e57backed No | 27c | 71.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…009fbacked No | 28c | 69.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…debabacked Yes | 57c | 68.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 75c | 67.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…74ddbacked No | 38c | 65.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…b2c2backed No | 52c | 55.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…0acabacked No | 20c | 54.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…d5cebacked No | 60c | 53.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…4eddbacked Yes | 55c | 53.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…fa3ebacked Yes | 78c | 48.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed Yes | 64c | 48.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 69c | 47.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yes | 57c | 46.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 43c | 45.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 34c | 43.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…0992backed No | 60c | 41.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…d70bbacked No | 50c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 53c | 37.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…f08fbacked No | 73c | 33.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…aca1backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…1263backed No | 68c | 27.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…ffc6backed No | 72c | 27.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 27.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…01a8backed Yes | 42c | 26.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 March 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.