TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe27e…a9d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: AI, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category AI at 62 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.29
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.2
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.04
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$59.27
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+174.1%+$62.06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$13.55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.21
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$29.21
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$21.45
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$36.78
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.75
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+288%+$42.31
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.1
Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$9.26
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.64
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.91
Will "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.44
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.05
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.15
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+76.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.72
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.39
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+280.3%+$62.65
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.88
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$7.91
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.32
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.26
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$127.17
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.39
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.39
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.02
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.3
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.2
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+360.2%+$51.27
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$16.01
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.68
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.37
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+103%+$30.44
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$39.17
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.04
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$80.91
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.11
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.8
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$84.88
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+83%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lehigh win the 2026 Patriot conference championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.