AI · resolved market
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e20a8187a934e96aa8b228e7caff6ac70bad3e6ad808ba51f06672d63528b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 68c | 3,434$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed No | 37c | 2,701$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.11 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…3b87backed Yes | 25c | 1,732$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.82 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…46f2backed Yes | 73c | 1,639$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 80c | 1,318$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 4c | 1,314$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 62c | 1,229$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.52 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 39c | 1,177$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.88 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 59c | 1,088$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.04 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 51c | 1,040$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.43 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 37c | 1,039$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.08 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…077dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…2e0dbacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 42c | 987.06$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.39 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba0…64fabacked Yes | 38c | 830.45$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 52c | 719.56$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.63 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 46c | 646.94$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…b42cbacked Yes | 53c | 601.85$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…a47fbacked Yes | 57c | 530.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 36c | 498$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 57c | 444$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 65c | 435.31$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.81 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 67c | 423.71$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 404.29$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…d398backed Yes | 20c | 399.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.30per pick | 28cpaid | +122%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 63c | 399.35$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…1182backed Yes | 67c | 300.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 63c | 280.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 31c | 277.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 17c | 274.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 61c | 271$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 5c | 270.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 19c | 263.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 25c | 234.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 34c | 221.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 35c | 211.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…2d9dbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 25c | 198.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…5fb3backed Yes | 54c | 185.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…4122backed No | 68c | 185$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…5e35backed No | 68c | 175$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 33c | 174.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…92ffbacked No | 68c | 174$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619c…b656backed Yes | 61c | 171.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…8642backed No | 68c | 170$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…f836backed No | 68c | 158$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed Yes | 19c | 157$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 30c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…7be9backed Yes | 69c | 145.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 46c | 142.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…43e7backed No | 68c | 138$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 14c | 136$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 21c | 134.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 44c | 114.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 9c | 113$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…a0f7backed Yes | 64c | 105.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +392.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 104.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 65c | 103.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…326ebacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 14c | 98.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 56c | 89.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…4a23backed Yes | 68c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 64c | 79.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 60c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…6d17backed No | 40c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e33…e5d9backed Yes | 68c | 73.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…1886backed No | 41c | 67.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd440…166ebacked Yes | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…6805backed Yes | 39c | 55.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 35c | 52.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed No | 29c | 51.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 49.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked No | 24c | 46.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3841…70cabacked Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…c918backed Yes | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 40.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…cf2cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +78%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed No | 53c | 37.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…cf6abacked Yes | 44c | 35.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 61c | 34.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 42c | 33.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 55c | 32.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 60c | 30.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…e66fbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…c708backed Yes | 68c | 26.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…8412backed No | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.