Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae08b30068d53a5848e1fdd441cb2c9c8cae0e5dccd324702d62183789b483f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d9…3581backed Yes | 26c | 46,150$12,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,045.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…b85ebacked No | 74c | 23,043$17,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…8d13backed No | 74c | 22,795$16,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 44c | 20,726$9,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,185.92 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 12,676$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.29 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 35c | 8,726$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 21c | 8,650$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.9 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked No | 61c | 7,974$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…a9c8backed No | 61c | 6,968$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 45c | 6,388$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 59c | 4,800$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.65 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 62c | 4,585$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.61 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 25c | 4,077$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.63 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 24c | 3,650$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 3,247$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.5 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 47c | 3,211$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.04 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 42c | 2,400$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e94…308cbacked No | 55c | 1,991$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…64d1backed Yes | 45c | 1,983$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 1,810$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 51c | 1,769$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b7…f533backed No | 49c | 1,727$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 61c | 1,680$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.4 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…cf0bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,641$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…c591backed No | 59c | 1,346$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,327$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.17 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 53c | 1,295$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 25c | 1,272$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 22c | 1,083$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…5bffbacked Yes | 45c | 966.96$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 19c | 835.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 17c | 803.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 42c | 801.13$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…86d1backed Yes | 24c | 740.73$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ad54backed Yes | 46c | 602.79$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 37c | 572.19$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Yes | 50c | 562.67$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…4e57backed No | 51c | 547.92$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 53c | 543.48$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked No | 55c | 540.04$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Yes | 48c | 538.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…64e4backed Yes | 59c | 528.64$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…4907backed Yes | 47c | 502.85$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 61c | 502.63$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 62c | 497.84$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 40c | 495.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 35c | 469.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed No | 55c | 463.45$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 37c | 447.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ff…0849backed Yes | 35c | 442.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…a0bfbacked No | 48c | 432.58$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…e34bbacked Yes | 47c | 429.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 45c | 425.64$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.82 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 413.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…3df1backed Yes | 50c | 387.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 377.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…97bdbacked No | 52c | 376.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 41c | 365.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…fffdbacked Yes | 42c | 360.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 41c | 353.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 352.48$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 59c | 350.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed Yes | 40c | 347.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed No | 50c | 344.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 41c | 338.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 322.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 61c | 319.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 10c | 309$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 48c | 305$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 74c | 300.33$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed No | 51c | 299.83$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 59c | 292.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…e362backed No | 54c | 268.05$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 40c | 260.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…70d7backed No | 55c | 253$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…1f4fbacked Yes | 12c | 252.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 244.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 42c | 240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…d850backed Yes | 44c | 227.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Yes | 19c | 226.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…8897backed Yes | 44c | 222.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…3759backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +1,104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…3238backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…b571backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…e040backed Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…258dbacked Yes | 50c | 194.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d3…5efabacked Yes | 51c | 194.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…0b11backed Yes | 45c | 194.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…af18backed No | 64c | 193.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…4ac7backed No | 51c | 180.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c0…b049backed Yes | 34c | 173.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 49c | 172.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…d9ffbacked No | 56c | 172$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfc…284abacked No | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 48c | 160.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.