Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7bdc90921a72a82f6f438b02d4a0eb33b33009d21cea1532452ec825aea0c79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x155b…64d1backed Yes | 30c | 48,166$14,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,716.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e94…308cbacked No | 70c | 24,191$16,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,933.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…5502backed No | 70c | 23,730$16,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,611.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 35c | 21,389$7,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,919.56 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 11,523$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,890.79 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 6c | 7,159$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 62c | 7,126$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.31 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 34c | 6,867$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 34c | 4,442$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.98 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 67c | 3,130$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.35 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 2,702$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 33c | 2,077$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.84 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,886$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.51 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 24c | 1,820$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.66 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 17c | 1,205$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,094$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 64c | 1,013$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.78 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 753.49$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.62 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 696.31$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.77 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…c591backed No | 72c | 689.09$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 27c | 637.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.51 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 624.01$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.82 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 10c | 583.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 574.29$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.53 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Yes | 25c | 526.7$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 505.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.27 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 482.58$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 17c | 475.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.27 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 40c | 455.32$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.34 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 28c | 429.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 38c | 395.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 74c | 360.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 64c | 346$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 12c | 345.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.74 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 27c | 338.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 71c | 325.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…fffdbacked Yes | 38c | 323.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ee…9edcbacked Yes | 46c | 317.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…70d7backed Yes | 38c | 314$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 7c | 311$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.51 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 38c | 299.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…1d3dbacked Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6e…23d7backed Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…bb32backed Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…f018backed Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…0bcabacked Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…23d1backed Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…c700backed Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…78a6backed Yes | 30c | 284.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 6c | 271.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +262%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 38c | 253.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 46c | 212.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 38c | 210$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed Yes | 39c | 202.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…e56cbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…258dbacked Yes | 37c | 191.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 36c | 178.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 27c | 166.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 69c | 155.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…4edfbacked Yes | 10c | 152.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +907.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 41c | 152.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…cd79backed No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…919fbacked No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…8e01backed No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…6316backed No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…9818backed No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…388ebacked No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf126…39cfbacked No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…dfd9backed No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541f…fb63backed No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…b33dbacked No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…4c5abacked No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f8…53afbacked No | 65c | 151.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 20c | 145.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…6ddabacked Yes | 45c | 144.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 29c | 142.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…51ccbacked No | 72c | 139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…260fbacked Yes | 37c | 131.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…19d3backed No | 65c | 127.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c5cebacked Yes | 8c | 125$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +263%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Yes | 40c | 121.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 63c | 117.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd5…9622backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 74c | 109.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 78c | 107.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…22ecbacked Yes | 37c | 106.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 105$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 29c | 98.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…4cefbacked Yes | 25c | 97.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…5759backed No | 64c | 93.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 32c | 90.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +271.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 71c | 87.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…8cb5backed Yes | 17c | 86.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +479.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.