TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9007…70d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$220.5
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.2
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+334.8%+$203.28
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$148.74
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.83
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$33.55
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.21
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$67.2
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.62
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.74
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on September 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.4% on September 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.74
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$41.4
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$21.45
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+376.2%+$635.95
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.49
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.6
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$49.22
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$62.57
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+85%+$155.82
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$89.28
Will SPD get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.32
Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$35.29
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.05
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.7
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$133.12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.17
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.26
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.49
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.45
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.7%+$89.65
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.54
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.24
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$82.5
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+101.6%+$130.27
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.04
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$22.3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$300.59
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+549.4%+$87.14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$28.68
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 8 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Cubs be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.2
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$94.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$169.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Discord IPO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.