Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x166cb0f82ec949034137b56c23b35b733e3d07e176f123a6473d81c9d8b8154c

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 14, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $263,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $155,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,213 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	3c	18,336$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.56	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…fd82backed Yes	0c	10,270$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	4c	10,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	7,825$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.6	628	12.3%77 W · 551 L	+16.1wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	10c	7,140$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.99	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	11c	7,028$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.05	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	2c	6,266$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.07	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	5c	6,197$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.62	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	5,478$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.48	525	9.9%52 W · 473 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	13c	4,697$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.89	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	5c	4,469$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.15	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	3,720$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.8	2,576	13.2%339 W · 2,237 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	18c	3,550$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.88	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	3,382$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.88	584	22.1%129 W · 455 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	2,998$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.49	1,799	7.4%133 W · 1,666 L	-24.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	2,882$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.99	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	9c	2,541$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.18	547	22.9%125 W · 422 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	15c	2,082$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.85	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.06	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	12c	1,912$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.25	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Yes	2c	1,837$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	14c	1,825$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.66	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	20c	1,800$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.05	461	11.3%52 W · 409 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…f3a5backed Yes	5c	1,797$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	1,552$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.62	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	10c	1,544$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.69	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b87…a20abacked Yes	7c	1,421$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.82	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd476…ff0ebacked Yes	2c	1,406$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	9c	1,344$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.9	203	26.6%54 W · 149 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	13c	1,323$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.7	541	17.2%93 W · 448 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	7c	1,317$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.84	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	21c	1,301$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.14	695	15.7%109 W · 586 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	18c	1,183$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.9	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked Yes	9c	1,129$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac38…f21ebacked Yes	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ed…6dbabacked Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.28per pick	44cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x807d…1e89backed Yes	6c	979.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	18c	927.04$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.51	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	11c	846.2$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.1	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	16c	803.24$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.73	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…5394backed Yes	18c	786.21$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	6c	775.6$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.97	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	23c	743.24$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.12	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df0…7791backed Yes	4c	673.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	16c	660.71$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa789…fb63backed Yes	9c	660$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.84	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b85…a1d8backed Yes	17c	577.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82d…f5c0backed Yes	18c	571$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	19c	536.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	424	9.9%42 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	517.38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	2,181	3.9%85 W · 2,096 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	4c	512.01$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	281	5%14 W · 267 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ade…c43abacked Yes	22c	509.46$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.69	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	852	16.4%140 W · 712 L	+24.7wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	17c	493.42$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.64	658	23.3%153 W · 505 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	21c	477.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Yes	7c	468.53$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7671…353fbacked Yes	5c	440.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	11c	425.96$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked Yes	17c	400$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes	11c	400$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	381.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	11c	366.86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.98	831	14.9%124 W · 707 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	3c	341.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…fb32backed Yes	15c	339.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	11c	339.73$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa881…8b3ebacked Yes	6c	292.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80fc…42c3backed Yes	4c	258.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	16c	257.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.36	654	11%72 W · 582 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6a…168ebacked Yes	10c	242.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…7aa9backed Yes	10c	242.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x651f…8e87backed Yes	10c	239.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe848…7348backed Yes	8c	238.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x868d…8d9dbacked Yes	21c	233.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Yes	22c	231.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes	14c	213.26$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes	10c	202.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	5c	201.65$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe51…434bbacked Yes	19c	200.88$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5609…33f4backed Yes	14c	200.67$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf89d…63a2backed Yes	19c	200.63$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.52	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd25d…6088backed Yes	19c	200.47$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c18…2fb9backed Yes	16c	200.19$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1b…8263backed Yes	19c	200.14$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…5c9bbacked Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…5490backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3068…cbf5backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5801…1c21backed Yes	19c	200$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb0…3b23backed Yes	16c	199.7$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.23	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…4defbacked Yes	20c	199.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	14c	193$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.19	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe86c…10f3backed Yes	15c	181.58$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.73	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd605…0653backed Yes	12c	175$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ecd4backed Yes	18c	170$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5a…4407backed Yes	18c	160.21$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.53	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d0…3b16backed Yes	6c	158.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…0d28backed Yes	20c	158$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Yes	14c	148.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event