Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2acc136826f08a34efa58125629b522e8b13ef4381b5943d42aebe8f7775f6c

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 14, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $190,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $203,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,834 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	72c	12,160$8,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,366.76	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes	30c	3,768$1,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,620.32	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	24c	3,067$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,325.98	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked No	65c	3,000$1,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,945.6	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	48c	2,977$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.13	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	25c	2,946$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,223.8	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	33c	2,882$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.83	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	55c	2,592$1,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,171.61	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	65c	2,592$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.79	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807d…1e89backed Yes	51c	2,355$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.22	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	75c	2,209$1,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.34	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked No	2c	2,178$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.96	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	23c	2,171$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,664.17	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	18c	1,800$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,479.02	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed No	75c	1,607$1,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,205.17	94	7.4%7 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes	73c	1,582$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.57	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x245c…2486backed No	66c	1,383$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.09	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	66cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	58c	1,360$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.07	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	35c	1,308$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.4	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc781…59d7backed Yes	37c	1,300$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdab4…5dbabacked Yes	76c	1,298$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.39	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	27c	1,297$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.24	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	1c	1,296$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	32c	1,232$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$834.48	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	19c	1,227$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.26	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	32c	1,200$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.99	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x304d…07f1backed No	2c	1,175$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	21c	1,057$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.71	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	28c	1,049$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.32	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	20c	988.63$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.14	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9faa…bbedbacked No	77c	945.13$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.51	175	16.6%29 W · 146 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No	54c	925.87$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.98	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	24c	847.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.82	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82d…f5c0backed Yes	47c	771$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.86	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…ecaabacked Yes	42c	749.07$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.82	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd099…fbc5backed Yes	13c	742.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	59c	742$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.81	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	26c	717.05$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.85	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	37c	676.54$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.54	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	45c	660.98$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.98	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac38…f21ebacked Yes	31c	651.59$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.59	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	64c	625.01$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.01	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865d…16bdbacked No	2c	605$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+111.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x210c…2edabacked No	65c	596.09$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.01	12	75%9 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	76cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	16c	587.56$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.66	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	13c	500.22$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.63	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x126b…26f9backed Yes	41c	500$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	39c	441.24$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.13	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e36…aa76backed Yes	69c	429.42$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	37c	429.04$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.54	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	63c	408.92$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.89	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked Yes	31c	399.69$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.79	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890d…782cbacked Yes	28c	396.52$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.52	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe367…47d4backed No	30c	388.38$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	37c	385.9$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.9	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	66c	364.96$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.98	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Yes	56c	357.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.46	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	18c	351.48$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.71	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes	20c	338.14$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.21	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e78…2ddebacked Yes	46c	323.58$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.54	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked No	4c	317.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.41	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	31c	314.03$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.73	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	44c	302.6$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.84	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c85…3833backed Yes	38c	300$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…f1e1backed Yes	35c	288.97$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.97	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf89d…63a2backed Yes	41c	288.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.37	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes	37c	267.07$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.07	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b15…e32dbacked Yes	14c	250$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	27c	250$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.5	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	61c	234.22$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.29	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	18c	230$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.6	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5377…e6dabacked Yes	26c	229.66$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.66	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Yes	35c	227.39$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.39	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.27	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa881…8b3ebacked Yes	39c	225.39$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.38	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe89…5288backed No	59c	218.53$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	22c	217.65$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.77	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ef…2dadbacked Yes	48c	216.83$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.86	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes	42c	213.48$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.82	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ade…c43abacked Yes	28c	212.55$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.55	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd326…72efbacked Yes	44c	208.58$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5609…33f4backed Yes	23c	205$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe51…434bbacked Yes	30c	200.88$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.88	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…4defbacked Yes	34c	200.47$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.97	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5801…1c21backed Yes	31c	200.34$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.54	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd25d…6088backed Yes	20c	200.02$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.52	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c18…2fb9backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7924…a7b0backed Yes	37c	200$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1b…8263backed Yes	27c	200$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…5490backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.75	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ed…6dbabacked Yes	46c	200$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.88	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.28per pick	44cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3068…cbf5backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed Yes	35c	200$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…5c9bbacked Yes	23c	199.28$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.08	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	26c	189$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.66	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…7d27backed Yes	25c	187.84$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.74	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	32c	185.54$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.54	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b2…15b5backed Yes	45c	182.8$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x243f…12fabacked Yes	35c	176.48$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.22	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event