Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb14d63317c23c0c64164b118c0362ac2884307f46280f82c9ee2a28ae2cdc365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 3c | 47,357$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.44 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 3c | 9,126$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.35 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,087$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…b42abacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 85 | 8.2%7 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 15c | 4,850$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.68 | 303 | 10.9%33 W · 270 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 5c | 2,940$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 3c | 2,749$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes | 11c | 2,266$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 239 | 14.2%34 W · 205 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,009$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes | 10c | 1,796$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 486 | 9.7%47 W · 439 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,754$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.84 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…6ab4backed Yes | 2c | 1,632$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…f3a5backed Yes | 1c | 1,550$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…efb4backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 387 | 6.5%25 W · 362 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,289$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,274$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…f21ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,255$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 459 | 11.3%52 W · 407 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 3c | 999.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 97 | 7.2%7 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 17c | 950.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 2c | 897.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 8c | 884.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…9147backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 2c | 671.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed Yes | 8c | 635.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…a75bbacked Yes | 3c | 620.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes | 12c | 600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 519 | 8.3%43 W · 476 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…f5c0backed Yes | 6c | 571.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…d4c7backed Yes | 2c | 569.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ade…c43abacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked Yes | 2c | 552.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 524 | 9.9%52 W · 472 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…fb63backed Yes | 13c | 551.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…10f3backed Yes | 3c | 533.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 14c | 500.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 470.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…829bbacked Yes | 19c | 439.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 15c | 438.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 7c | 414.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 4c | 400.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Yes | 14c | 365.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…8d9dbacked Yes | 15c | 339.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e26…fdefbacked Yes | 8c | 324.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Yes | 16c | 315.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…0cfabacked Yes | 18c | 268.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 281 | 13.5%38 W · 243 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 20c | 255.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbb…7525backed Yes | 21c | 236.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes | 15c | 205$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…5c9bbacked Yes | 17c | 200.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25d…6088backed Yes | 18c | 200.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c18…2fb9backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…5490backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 14c | 157.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…8edfbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…6f2ebacked Yes | 16c | 131.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +75%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…bfd6backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…d571backed Yes | 11c | 121.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…2d64backed Yes | 8c | 118.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…43d4backed Yes | 19c | 115.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…63a2backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…08bfbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8667…8e0bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9739backed Yes | 20c | 98.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…4615backed Yes | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…ac59backed Yes | 14c | 92.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…c260backed Yes | 18c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…5e50backed Yes | 17c | 79.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +638.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…4316backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…9043backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…ba27backed Yes | 19c | 52.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.