TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeee2…c260

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT12523.2%29 W · 96 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.96
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$65.88
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+681.3%+$248.67
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+41.2%+$29.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+30.7%+$6.14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+263.6%+$105.45
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+64.3%+$25.73
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.67
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 18 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.14
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.