Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea60d26d5db0d0842447c1e64d1b07f5d93a6dbfa1a2323d8dd9dc85377aee68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,743$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 5c | 3,066$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 9c | 1,868$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.65 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 78c | 1,399$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.09 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 21c | 1,203$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.81 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 9c | 942.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.14 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 10c | 884.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed No | 16c | 788.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 14c | 761.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…6593backed Yes | 1c | 719.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 8cpaid | +1,143%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 20c | 512.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.31 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…df9ebacked Yes | 17c | 505.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 58c | 482.97$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 56c | 482.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 15c | 470.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 30c | 395.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.96 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…4ecdbacked Yes | 10c | 341$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 18c | 331.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.63 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 7c | 325.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.75 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked Yes | 76c | 306.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…9a2bbacked Yes | 12c | 231.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb056…40e1backed Yes | 14c | 231.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 202.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 61c | 157.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 119.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked No | 43c | 115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…864ebacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…c260backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 15c | 98.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…c2ecbacked Yes | 76c | 91.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 11c | 89.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 85.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 18c | 74.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 39c | 74.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 37c | 66.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed No | 19c | 52.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 25c | 50.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 74c | 40.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 71c | 19.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5d01backed Yes | 60c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.