Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9346faa8b9a238d1510f04c0d016502ed54a41ea7335a4588197db34da78037a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 1,197$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked Yes | 33c | 610.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 3c | 522$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…6593backed Yes | 4c | 512.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 8cpaid | +1,143%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 8c | 439.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 4c | 403.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 399.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 4c | 364.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 21c | 299.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 266 | 19.5%52 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 7c | 291.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…aa29backed Yes | 13c | 272.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 9c | 244.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 79c | 230.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 8c | 208.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 23c | 199.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 120.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 10c | 113.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 25c | 100.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…6797backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 77.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 57.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.