Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fff0b1d74b577088321f463c0a2218d685b6ae25a68dc2a14d518fbe98f2e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,756 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes | 10c | 6,391$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 4,118$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 2,614$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,461$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.49 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 18c | 2,271$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 3c | 2,071$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adb…440abacked Yes | 20c | 1,715$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 7c | 1,491$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…15f9backed Yes | 4c | 1,417$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…0ddebacked No | 72c | 1,377$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 18c | 1,342$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 7c | 1,235$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…8b06backed No | 63c | 1,041$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,022$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…9bccbacked No | 64c | 956.94$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 39c | 883.68$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.94 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…1d0ebacked Yes | 12c | 875$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…1d10backed Yes | 34c | 850.95$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 3c | 834$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…4887backed Yes | 13c | 827.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 826.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…e316backed Yes | 16c | 820.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…fd2ebacked Yes | 11c | 794.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1014…25f7backed No | 63c | 783.59$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 706.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…40dabacked Yes | 17c | 703.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 9c | 537.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 537.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…51c6backed Yes | 8c | 522.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 20c | 518.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 37c | 517.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 6c | 500.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…0d44backed Yes | 12c | 485.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…0c5ebacked Yes | 15c | 464.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347e…4d06backed Yes | 15c | 457.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa572…d206backed Yes | 14c | 450.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…5adabacked Yes | 12c | 434.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 11c | 410$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…da44backed Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…4c7fbacked Yes | 38c | 399.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes | 35c | 366.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 6c | 354.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 6c | 315$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 71c | 310.93$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…49b6backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 13c | 290$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 67c | 266.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…31dbbacked Yes | 13c | 242.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 10c | 222.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…e075backed Yes | 9c | 220.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…6900backed Yes | 21c | 213.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked Yes | 8c | 208.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 15c | 205.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…bc40backed Yes | 24c | 205.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked No | 68c | 198.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 10c | 194.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 21c | 186.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…68a7backed Yes | 13c | 177.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…d513backed Yes | 13c | 171.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Yes | 12c | 163.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 29c | 161.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 14c | 161.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 150.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 15c | 149.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…8480backed Yes | 27c | 141$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8b…560fbacked Yes | 18c | 138.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 14c | 123.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43be…ec96backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 14c | 107.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 124 | 12.1%15 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 14c | 103.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…0e93backed Yes | 13c | 103.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 29c | 102.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…c260backed Yes | 15c | 101.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…83a3backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…c98abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…49a5backed Yes | 13c | 99.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…36a9backed Yes | 21c | 95.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 11.6%11 W · 84 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…7a52backed Yes | 14c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 17c | 85.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Yes | 14c | 83.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…d805backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked No | 53c | 79.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed No | 71c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…e0d6backed Yes | 23c | 68.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 22c | 68.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6f46backed Yes | 16c | 62.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 73c | 60.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.