Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4708e6cdcd3d949a0d2de5c844f66d62a6530d3325b22b36c3eb1c65c7e8ae81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,560 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 1c | 26,666$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…8a07backed Yes | 56c | 8,523$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes | 75c | 6,549$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 57c | 5,533$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…1d10backed Yes | 48c | 4,154$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 76c | 3,942$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.4 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 8c | 3,716$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…6900backed No | 10c | 2,961$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 21c | 2,529$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 2,385$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 78c | 1,782$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adb…440abacked Yes | 78c | 1,563$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes | 26c | 1,493$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.08 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4295…5b86backed Yes | 19c | 1,452$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes | 64c | 1,302$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…8843backed Yes | 80c | 1,301$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 26c | 1,226$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.55 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked No | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…0f44backed No | 13c | 1,097$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed No | 10c | 1,069$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 31c | 1,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 154 | 13%20 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 15c | 898$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 18c | 888$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…8404backed No | 63c | 816.11$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed No | 55c | 756.53$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 3c | 754.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 18c | 753.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…4e8fbacked Yes | 14c | 750$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 73c | 707.21$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…202abacked Yes | 48c | 704.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…c2c1backed Yes | 55c | 612.73$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.32 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…4c7fbacked Yes | 18c | 590.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed No | 77c | 587.64$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…e06cbacked No | 14c | 572.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 541.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.35 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed No | 5c | 509.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 55c | 489.95$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.42 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 432.88$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.26 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 411.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 32c | 400$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 359.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 62c | 358.39$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 22c | 347.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…2100backed No | 30c | 334.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…2b8ebacked Yes | 75c | 326.54$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed No | 6c | 321.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…8480backed Yes | 23c | 318.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 21c | 305$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…675cbacked No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed No | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 47c | 289.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 7c | 282.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 54c | 275.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes | 27c | 252$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked No | 73c | 252$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…821cbacked No | 10c | 242.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…4edfbacked No | 5c | 240$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 43c | 239.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce9…0ee2backed No | 27c | 233.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…139ebacked No | 16c | 218.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 7c | 216.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…c593backed No | 6c | 212.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 25c | 205$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…9f53backed No | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b47…2906backed Yes | 77c | 195.7$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…444dbacked Yes | 43c | 191$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 187$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked No | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…5f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 169.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 26c | 168.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…ac1cbacked No | 21c | 166$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 74c | 161.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 21c | 160$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…0b46backed No | 14c | 150.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…ec34backed No | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 23c | 140.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…18d8backed Yes | 27c | 133.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked Yes | 15c | 130$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked No | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 21c | 118.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…1aaabacked Yes | 40c | 114.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 16c | 112.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…23f0backed Yes | 73c | 111.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 17c | 109.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…71bdbacked No | 48c | 105.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…4641backed No | 68c | 105.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…7894backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…04fabacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…ff72backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…0173backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…2f99backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…da44backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…e924backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.