TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97b3…0d4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tweets, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 62 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+53.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72%+$27.96
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.64
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+224%+$38.03
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$15.52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+86%+$18.5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$18.81
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+373%+$54.9
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$35.85
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+306.3%+$154.55
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Zambia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
United States vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$8.14
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$14.69
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$10.57
Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$10.86
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.86
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$10.94
Armenia vs. Belarus: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will United States win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$13.4
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+71%+$15.86
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$4.94
SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$12.32
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$7.57
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$4.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Will NEC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$5.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.