Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3feec37c4e62554d1f2b467666d07c75762337036a231d9fb5fb2672680776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 751.07$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 49c | 638.69$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.64 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 10c | 501$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 75c | 438.92$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 438.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 50c | 335.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 77c | 333.52$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 75c | 305.85$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 283.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 259.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 205.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 79c | 181.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 18c | 164.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 51c | 102.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…48a4backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed No | 19c | 75.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed No | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 16c | 64.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 80c | 62.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 51c | 42.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked No | 49c | 42.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 29.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aecbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Serbia won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.