Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b5b283c1569d139f29c1ba1ffdf21d94ece455194a2dd54b29b7929025aacbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 5,642$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.2 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…1e45backed Over | 80c | 1,390$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 16c | 627.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 486.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 79c | 441.93$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 19c | 299.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Under | 22c | 224.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Under | 18c | 222.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 16c | 158.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 11c | 130.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 16c | 85.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 16c | 79.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 77.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 76.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Over | 79c | 37.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 35.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…b899backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Serbia won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.