Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x172d00fa11787e013f82be6c7a2558822ee20640d179b071aba7e19ce8be3f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 62c | 1,085$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 47c | 842.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 718.88$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 56c | 677.19$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Under | 45c | 470$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 443.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 386.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 47c | 340.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 43c | 306.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 301$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Under | 46c | 218.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…3b90backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 208.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 69c | 186$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 58c | 172.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 33c | 152.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 41c | 130.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 51c | 129.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 85.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 43c | 73.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…a02bbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 51c | 71.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 41c | 71.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 61.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 56.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 69c | 54.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 58c | 51.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 39c | 41.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 40.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 40.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 46c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Over | 55c | 36.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Under | 49c | 35.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 29.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 54c | 29.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 55c | 23.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Serbia won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.