Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ddc74ada1ca7425d325951b73b6551acdbaf43b8913cfef6004b68d2ec12e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 29c | 3,087$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.91 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 2,356$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 28c | 1,406$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 1,332$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.75 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 858.24$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.35 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 71c | 691$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.11 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 75c | 638.09$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 26c | 378.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…831ebacked Under | 73c | 366.85$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 360.49$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 349.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 74c | 272.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Under | 74c | 270.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 255.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 73c | 239.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 227.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 75c | 173.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Under | 75c | 173.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 72c | 131.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 72c | 118.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 15c | 104.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 74c | 104$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 73c | 99.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 72c | 95.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 74c | 93.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 27c | 83.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 28c | 75.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 27c | 75.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…d02abacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…9c7fbacked Over | 29c | 69.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 27c | 64.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 27c | 62.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Under | 76c | 60.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 73c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 27c | 59.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 75c | 51.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 28c | 49.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…c4edbacked Over | 28c | 49.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 72c | 49.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 72c | 45.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe048…781abacked Over | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Under | 73c | 44.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 72c | 42.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 26c | 40.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 75c | 39.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 73c | 36.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 73c | 25.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…ad50backed Under | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 72c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 4.5this page
- Egypt vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.