Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539535b7a6ded94a1138e6845ae1f101c627855dec22bb754373b5e87afee776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Yes | 47c | 1,687$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,285$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,207$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.93 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 1,159$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.71 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 50c | 981.94$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.77 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 372.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 58c | 348$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 321.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.05 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 296.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 222.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed No | 57c | 206.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 45c | 200.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…b274backed No | 58c | 173.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 55c | 169.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 42c | 141.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05cd…598bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Yes | 41c | 130.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 95.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 56c | 89.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 46c | 87.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 45c | 67.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 67.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 61.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Yes | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5cb1backed No | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…0bc4backed No | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 43c | 32.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8a59backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 43c | 27.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…97b7backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.