Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d05b0bd121930e79a71f5d522f783128c802fafc88e198ff04dc083f14c464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 2,918$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 46c | 2,162$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 925.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 11c | 754.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 55c | 701.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Over | 45c | 533.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 45c | 448.65$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 56c | 299.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 292.53$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 263.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 198$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 178.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 34c | 169.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 159.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Over | 46c | 136.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 55c | 130.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647c…a772backed Over | 45c | 123.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 55c | 119.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 55c | 105.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 52c | 104.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 103.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 55c | 102.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 44c | 99.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Under | 57c | 96.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 89.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 46c | 76.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 72.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 55c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 46c | 57.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 45c | 55.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 53.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61db…90cdbacked Over | 44c | 45.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 55c | 45.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 55c | 40.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 56c | 38.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…ad50backed Under | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 46c | 37.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 43c | 34.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 55c | 33.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Over | 46c | 29.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 28.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 45c | 27.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 53c | 26.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 54c | 19.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 3.5this page
- Egypt vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.