TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Egyptof Spain, Egypt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x76be…120ebacked Spain63c21,652$13,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,624.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Egypt40c13,722$5,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,165.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Egypt37c4,984$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.781,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Egypt38c2,362$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.0286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Egypt38c2,058$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.9550850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Egypt36c614.74$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.562,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Egypt35c470.7$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.922,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Spain67c454.43$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.336637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Spain28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Spain66c395.73$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Egypt37c394.86$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.762552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Egypt72c383.58$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Spain58c344.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Spain59c310$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.94748.9%23 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+108.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spain66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Spain66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Egypt38c271.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5610550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Egypt34c251.42$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.683,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Egypt39c251.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.123751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31bb…3dbabacked Spain64c233.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Egypt44c214.65$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Spain35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spain33c191.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.782,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Egypt60c190.26$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Egypt48c184.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.316445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Spain65c171.1$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.223537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Spain39c166.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Spain62c153.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Spain66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Egypt38c145.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.394850%24 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Spain58c130$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.43250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Egypt33c125.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.651,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Spain44c122.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2316116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Spain38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Spain33c101$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.337532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Spain61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Spain67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Spain54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Spain65c98.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.285530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf36d…2460backed Spain66c84.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+213.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Spain61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507138%27 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Egypt38c80.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8523749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Spain64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Spain66c76.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Spain66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Egypt67c75.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.085040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Spain67c74.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078f…aa10backed Spain67c74.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked Spain67c72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.882564%16 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Spain42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Egypt37c66.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3217553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Egypt37c65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.952560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Egypt34c63.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.233455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Egypt53c63.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2711545.2%52 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c73…3a99backed Spain65c62.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Egypt37c61.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9725554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Spain66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Spain35c58.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Egypt34c58.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6936850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Egypt36c58.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9717158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Egypt37c57.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.77266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Egypt37c56.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.889351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Egypt37c56.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8215448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Egypt37c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.65429.5%4 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Spain62c52.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Spain46c52.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda5…830dbacked Spain65c50.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Spain62c49.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.455064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Spain43c46.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64e…5d27backed Spain65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9782…0a6ebacked Spain66c44.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.642373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Egypt36c43.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8821444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…9b86backed Egypt39c41.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Spain64c39.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.114751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6af…4219backed Spain66c37.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Egypt39c36.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.21931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Egypt57c36.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.645962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Spain65c35.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2324653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb659…48e5backed Egypt35c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fc…b2d4backed Spain62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4573…2c90backed Spain64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204729.8%14 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…1822backed Spain66c30.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+58.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af0…65e7backed Spain66c30.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aecbacked Spain68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Spain65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513860.9%84 W · 54 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Spain66c29.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.616358.7%37 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Egypt35c29.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Egypt36c29.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9220156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50d0…8cadbacked Spain67c28.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…a955backed Spain61c28.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1250%0 W · 5 L-3.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Egypt46c27.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1183153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Spain66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+78.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1179…ab20backed Spain67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Spain64c22.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1510958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Spain52c20.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.729124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d2…ee3abacked Spain62c20.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaad…1039backed Spain62c16.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…3efdbacked Spain64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.