TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1af0…65e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT7749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.54
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.54
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$52.31
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$37.93
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$43.85
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$10.67
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541%+$541.03
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.47
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$91.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$74.85
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Kraken vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kraken vs. Predatorsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$279.89
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$98.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.49
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$43.43
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$434.84
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$182.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$42.47
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$97.57
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$22.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.