Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bcef38e7a76c6627e294e8d693a61c91826bc3b46081a0cd13eba1bd94e2fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,916,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,916,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 49c | 520,712$254,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266,214.84 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 51c | 195,199$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,199.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 50c | 160,045$79,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,267.53 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 126,225$60,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,427.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 50c | 69,678$35,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,512.94 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 50c | 67,025$33,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,337.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 38c | 56,201$21,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,430.11 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 51c | 55,220$28,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,161.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 49c | 51,600$25,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,284 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 50c | 39,419$19,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,709.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 35,976$17,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,731.51 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 33,679$16,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,539.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 49c | 32,176$15,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,766.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 49c | 31,500$15,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,434.98 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed No | 50c | 29,951$14,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,975.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 51c | 29,744$15,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,174.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 50c | 29,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 49c | 26,800$13,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,132 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 50c | 24,400$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed No | 51c | 23,079$11,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,741.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed No | 50c | 22,560$11,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 49c | 20,372$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 52c | 20,000$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 19,565$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,637.18 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 19,133$9,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,192.64 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 51c | 17,255$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 51c | 15,965$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 50c | 15,961$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 52c | 15,622$8,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,123.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 4c | 13,701$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.12 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…8b73backed No | 51c | 11,602$5,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,917.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 10,833$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.82 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 49c | 10,296$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 47c | 9,927$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.35 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 51c | 9,216$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 8,811$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.5 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 51c | 8,784$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 50c | 8,600$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Yes | 50c | 8,199$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…5a77backed No | 4c | 7,370$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 50c | 7,189$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 38c | 7,119$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.68 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 49c | 6,450$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.5 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed No | 50c | 6,274$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 6,024$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.23 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 50c | 5,836$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 50c | 5,550$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 4c | 5,200$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed No | 51c | 5,098$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 50c | 5,041$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.09 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Yes | 50c | 4,740$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 49c | 4,328$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.35 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…5ea3backed No | 0c | 4,245$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf56…5885backed No | 0c | 4,236$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 50c | 4,201$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.96 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 50c | 3,960$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 50c | 3,642$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 50c | 3,576$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 3,539$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.4 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 47c | 3,443$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,265$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.29 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 49c | 2,850$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 50c | 2,550$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 49c | 2,400$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.23 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 2,351$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.01 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 49c | 2,280$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed No | 50c | 2,244$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed No | 1c | 2,239$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 30c | 2,234$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.33 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed No | 53c | 2,218$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 51c | 1,917$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,690$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.66 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 52c | 1,583$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.98 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 49c | 1,288$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 49c | 1,202$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 51c | 1,198$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.29 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,178$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 51c | 1,152$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.