Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4bb63186518f9e90aa273cbf252495cf145d947d7217aed62d8011ee2978dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,157 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 77c | 25,997$20,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,979.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 18,793$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,311.46 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 24c | 10,417$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 24c | 6,883$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 20c | 5,149$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.49 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 24c | 3,883$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 24c | 3,692$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,617$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 76c | 3,250$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 2,267$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,184$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.31 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,672$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 25c | 1,010$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…7044backed Yes | 24c | 963.79$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 76c | 790.82$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 452.5$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 9c | 418.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…af3fbacked Yes | 8c | 366.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 23c | 325.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…179abacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 22c | 276.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 11c | 265$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 26c | 246.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 211.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…8c42backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…16cbbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 180.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 155$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 14c | 137.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 135.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Yes | 19c | 114.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Yes | 24c | 111.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…b696backed No | 77c | 111$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…525dbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 24c | 105.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…31a2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…6cc6backed No | 77c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 76.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…0276backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Yes | 17c | 68.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes | 24c | 66.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 64.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 22c | 60.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 78c | 57.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…d027backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd90…fcf1backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…1870backed Yes | 24c | 49.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 76c | 49.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 77c | 36.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…c63cbacked No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?this page
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?Yes won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.