TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe89a…467e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Will Niger win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Libya vs. Niger end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Hungary vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Scotland win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Morocco vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+174%+$25.4
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Greece vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Cyprus vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Moldova vs. Lithuania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$21.68
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$15.4
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.39
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$24.4
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$10.46
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.