Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f6ca80b1d22df191ddbab5e567d7a240d9d88659c5b4bf9a1c754bc34bf2cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,248 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes | 29c | 105,016$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 17,881$12,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043.52 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 13,466$9,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.15 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 13,430$9,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.1 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 12,891$9,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.4 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 11,315$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.06 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 9,717$6,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.74 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 8,871$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.66 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 29c | 5,552$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.19 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 1c | 3,427$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 2,422$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.38 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 71c | 1,788$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.52 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 1,378$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.11 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 71c | 1,275$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.75 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,191$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.37 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 4c | 1,056$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 986$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.94 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 918.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Yes | 27c | 799.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 71c | 768.16$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 73c | 708$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 25c | 628$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 620.52$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked No | 73c | 541.1$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 536.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 71c | 470$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 28c | 467.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 450.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 422.5$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 25c | 406.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 394.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 75c | 357$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed No | 73c | 356.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 327.66$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 310.73$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 72c | 299.93$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 71c | 284$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 15c | 258.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed No | 73c | 254.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 245.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 72c | 245.18$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 24c | 241.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 229.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 76c | 212.69$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 206.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed No | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed No | 73c | 197$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked No | 73c | 197$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed No | 73c | 197$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 26c | 190.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 71c | 175$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 71c | 175$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 26c | 174.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 28c | 172.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed No | 73c | 158$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 73c | 158$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 151.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 141$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed No | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.