TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,193,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,193,379 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1be…cc57backed Yes36c1,400,328$500,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500,617.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No64c221,375$141,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,908.632755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No63c135,135$85,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,999.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No65c120,060$78,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,0213100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No65c115,000$74,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,2503046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No65c100,000$64,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,5003745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes35c89,845$31,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,445.911246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No65c82,740$53,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,796.595947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No63c68,848$43,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,228.8938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No65c54,235$35,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,982.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No64c44,369$28,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,950.8713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No64c38,562$24,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,882.321353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No64c36,000$22,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,06015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No64c35,060$22,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,624.41650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No65c34,220$22,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,977366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c33,956$22,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,206.783,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No65c29,583$19,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,354.223641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes0c28,687$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.54258%2 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-86.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No64c23,520$15,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,467.22050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No65c20,839$13,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,293.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No65c18,780$12,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,572.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No65c17,644$11,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,175.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No65c14,865$9,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,202.752540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed No65c14,404$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,103.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No64c14,000$8,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0402347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No65c13,116$8,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,590.764544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No64c12,680$8,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,514.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes19c12,000$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c10,914$7,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.7391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c10,826$8,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.1444952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c10,818$7,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,321.482,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c10,656$6,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.4984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No65c10,100$6,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Yes35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No65c9,966$6,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,487.9633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971f…160abacked Yes18c8,890$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No64c6,807$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.872552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No65c6,104$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1601353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No65c5,510$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed Yes18c5,014$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74b3…490ebacked No65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No62c4,996$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.375054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No65c4,979$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.83250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed No65c3,946$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No64c3,678$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.082138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes28c3,641$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.425927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No65c3,613$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.692958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No64c3,500$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked No65c3,250$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c3,018$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.663857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c3,011$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.211,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0208124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No65c2,900$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No64c2,800$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0083256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No65c2,760$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9661526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes20c2,506$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No64c1,980$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.692152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No64c1,788$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.687354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…10f1backed No65c1,754$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No63c1,700$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No63c1,700$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54024655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes18c1,482$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.381844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes20c1,482$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.22245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No65c1,450$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No65c1,450$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yes37c1,342$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes13c1,319$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.451723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No64c1,275$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4595356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes30c1,264$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.722630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes13c1,254$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No64c1,250$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes2c1,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccac…8a2abacked No65c1,160$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c1,024$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c1,003$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9535158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes38c1,001$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes14c999.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes31c964.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes23c899.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No65c833.32$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.66366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No64c737.01$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.325639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No64c728.17$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.418355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No65c728.01$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes15c723.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c703.14$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Yes14c694.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21611153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.