Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cyprus vs. Belarus end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd055a5a360c9de72b29535b96f3d61fa714396117a098d9a78946542d46de625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 750.56$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 518.66$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.41 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 400.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 71c | 283.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Yes | 28c | 269.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 70c | 226.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 31c | 158.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…cbe3backed No | 68c | 156.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 31c | 145.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 133.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 128.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…fee3backed Yes | 27c | 107.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 106.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 30c | 105.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed No | 71c | 97.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 69c | 87.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 29c | 86.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 81.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 72c | 72.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed No | 73c | 71.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 32c | 71.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 67.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 66.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 30c | 64.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 60.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 45.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 75c | 24.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed No | 68c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus vs. Belarus end in a draw?this page
- Will Belarus win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
- Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.