Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x795f389d7f7782f40df13e9aa78c3b2764d7686202311a9356c3ac6ad5ccbcdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 1,114$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.01 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 79c | 979.64$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.89 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 78c | 907.55$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 57c | 630$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 552.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 69c | 539.03$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 496.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.26 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed No | 11c | 377.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…fee3backed Yes | 63c | 237.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Yes | 64c | 157.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 221 | 44.8%99 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 144.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 16c | 132.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 126.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 20c | 106.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 31c | 102.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 62c | 88.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 86.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 82.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 75.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…f33cbacked Yes | 62c | 64.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 59.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 36c | 37.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 28c | 36.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Yes | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 50c | 28.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 22.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 61c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 72c | 16.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 71c | 15.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belarus win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Cyprus vs. Belarus end in a draw?No won
- Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.