Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f3618ad6c4653a3fc8368b8fa5a5e2485fa84f8abe61b656bf5157f7b07c293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 7,495$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.83 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 45c | 6,396$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.32 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 55c | 2,270$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.46 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 1,247$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.18 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,229$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 39c | 713.05$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.09 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 544.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.78 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 55c | 515.32$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 509.94$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.03 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 508.27$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 40c | 434.96$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 25c | 378$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 360.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 40c | 252$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Yes | 45c | 227.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 223.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 45c | 216.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 209.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 41c | 209.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 45c | 203.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 45c | 203.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 45c | 190.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 45c | 183.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 40c | 165$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 45c | 148.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 94.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 17c | 87.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 13c | 85.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 60c | 78.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 25c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…8df2backed No | 60c | 65.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 43c | 59.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 19c | 57.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…d113backed Yes | 40c | 50.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 42c | 49.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 58c | 49.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 55c | 42.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 38.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 39c | 32.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…b50dbacked Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…7b12backed Yes | 45c | 30.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 60c | 29.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Yes | 44c | 29.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 59c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 76c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Belarus win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
- Will Cyprus vs. Belarus end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.