TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1150…e701

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.9
Will Themus Fulks have the most assists per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will Utah State advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.43
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.72
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Southern Conference (SoCon)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will California Baptist win the 2026 WAC conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.1
Will Arizona State win the 2026 Big 12 title?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Florida International Golden Panthers (W)backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.65
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-9.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$120
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboysbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$63.93
Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogsbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-12.5)backed UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$87.24
Spread: Texas Southern Tigers (-1.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
Spread: Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks (-6.5)backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
American Eagles vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$124.23
LSU Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.06
Spread: Bradley Braves (-4.5)backed Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-10.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.1%+$14.9
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Spread: Howard Bison (-8.5)backed Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.42
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.37
Will Kon Knueppel lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$57.34
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.94
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.95
Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.98
RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.11
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.79
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+228.3%+$28.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+143.9%+$19.92
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$41.18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+79.3%+$12.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.66
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$26.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)backed Urawa Red Diamonds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+136.8%+$173.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cyprus vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Nigeria Invitational Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe - Who wins the toss?backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: xCrew Esports vs Asterisk (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stagebacked xCrew Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nebius say "Nvidia" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.