TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will David Njoku play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,317 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8280…2b64backed No61c202.91$124 inWon+$79.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8823…4eeabacked No61c202.73$124 inWon+$79.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac1…6baebacked No61c201.31$123 inWon+$78.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…f4fbbacked No61c201.09$123 inWon+$78.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e3…4e41backed No61c195.03$119 inWon+$76.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7c…6004backed No61c189.54$116 inWon+$73.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf584…78febacked No61c184.77$113 inWon+$72.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…9270backed No61c184.14$112 inWon+$71.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x638e…5138backed No61c183.97$112 inWon+$71.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f5…7baabacked No61c180.9$110 inWon+$70.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b9…b250backed No61c179.97$110 inWon+$70.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa26…1f5abacked No61c179.44$109 inWon+$69.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a23…0eb8backed No61c178.75$109 inWon+$69.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272b…2546backed No61c175.03$107 inWon+$68.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4c…ca47backed No61c171.06$104 inWon+$66.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b5…8541backed Yes51c50$26 inLost-$25.54837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No63c28$18 inWon+$10.365024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…e701backed Yes37c28$10 inLost-$10.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.